Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.2%
Forecasters
817
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleFeb 4, 22, 10:54 PM UTCJan 1, 01, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to no if AI has not wiped out humanity by the year 2100.
- If AI has wiped out humanity, the market resolution is on them.
- I made this bet with @tomchivers on the Browser Bets YouTube show.
- You can join in here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ak6HxFREPyc&t=1s