What are the current odds for Will anything other than AI wipe out humanity by 2100??

Manifold Markets prices No at 96.4% as of October 25, 2026.

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Will anything other than AI wipe out humanity by 2100?

AIOne-Off

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 96.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 21 minutes ago

May 16, 23, 3:01 PM UTCJan 1, 01, 7:59 AM UTC

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Outcome24hChance

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Rules

Resolves to notM1 && notM2

(https://manifold.markets/embed/IsaacKing/will-humanity-survive-until-2100) M2:
(https://manifold.markets/embed/JamesDillard/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th)

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Will anything other than AI wipe out humanity by 2100?

Will anything other than AI wipe out humanity by 2100?

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