Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040??

Manifold Markets prices No at 92% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040? resolve?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2040.

How is Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2040, then this market resolves to NO.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-4.0pt78%
• December 15,+0.5pt74%
• November 30,+0.5pt65%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$5.4M

24h Vol

$107K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T27.7%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.3pt18.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.5pt17.8%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.5pt20%
• 2028+1.0pt16%
• 2027+2.0pt9%

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202792%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027-3.0pt88.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+2.6pt90.9%
• Anthropic-2.5pt8.1%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.3pt49.5%
• Gemini38%
• ChatGPT-0.1pt8.3%

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