Will a therapy that substantially slows down or reverses the aging process in humans be developed before 2040?
One-OffHealth & MedicineScience13y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 60.1%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMar 17, 23, 12:49 AM UTCJan 2, 40, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
The development of a therapy that can substantially slow down or reverse the aging process has significant implications for human health, lifespan, and quality of life.
- As the global population ages, there is a growing interest in understanding the underlying causes of aging and finding ways to counteract its effects.
- Despite the potential benefits, developing an effective therapy to slow down or reverse aging presents numerous scientific and technical challenges.
- These challenges include understanding the complex biology of aging, identifying appropriate biomarkers, and developing interventions that can safely and effectively modulate the aging process.
- Resolution criteria:
- This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st, 2040, a therapy is publicly and credibly documented to have:
