Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction?
One-OffUS Politics7yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 82.7%
Forecasters
39
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMar 29, 24, 3:08 PM UTCMar 28, 34, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Pessimistic estimates put it at 'up to ten years'
- Link: https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2024/03/27/baltimore-key-bridge-rebuild-timeline/
- Link: https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/baltimore-bridge-rebuild-possibly-10-years
- [image][image]
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction? resolve?
- Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction? is scheduled to resolve on March 28, 2034.
- How is Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Pessimistic estimates put it at 'up to ten years'