
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
By 2028 will a language model beat the Ender Dragon?
Will "[Linkpost] Interpreting Language Model Parameters" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Will we fully interpret a GPT-2 level language model by 2028?
A publicly available, general purpose LLM from a major AI lab is advertised with robotics capabilities before 2027
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Rules
An "ALM" is a trained system that generalizes beyond NLA-style reconstruction introduced in this Anthropic's article.
Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:
https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/will-a-generalpurpose-activation-laAI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:
https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp+12 more outcomes
+19 more outcomes
+5 more outcomes
+18 more outcomes
+8 more outcomes
+6 more outcomes