What are the current odds for Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old??

Manifold Markets prices No at 90.5% as of October 28, 2026.

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Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?

One-OffScience

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 90.5%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 59 minutes ago

Lagging

Aug 20, 22, 3:03 PM UTCAug 21, 70, 9:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

Time spent in cryostasis doesn't count

Mind uploading doesn't count -- the cat needs to be wetware running on DNA, proteins, lipids, etc. Close date updated to 2170-08-21 5:59 pm

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Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?

Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?

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Frequently asked questions

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

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