Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.6%
Forecasters
35
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Aug 20, 22, 3:03 PM UTCAug 21, 70, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?
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PolymarketRules
Time spent in cryostasis doesn't count
- Mind uploading doesn't count -- the cat needs to be wetware running on DNA, proteins, lipids, etc. Close date updated to 2170-08-21 5:59 pm
Open markets
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- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+5.3pt55%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $263.3K
- 24h Vol
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- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 202813%
- Before 20275%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.3M
- 24h Vol
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- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030+17.0pt44%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- No96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
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- Above 0+7.0pt46.1%
- Above 1+20.0pt38.5%
- Above 2-10.0pt7.7%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
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- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 89% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old? resolve?
- Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2170.
- How is Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Time spent in cryostasis doesn't count