Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Other 31.2%Leader of 17 outcomes
Other 31.2%Forecasters
27
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleNov 2, 24, 11:29 AM UTCDec 31, 35, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the next female Prime Minister of the UK be from the Conservative party?
Manifold MarketsPierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
KalshiWill the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next (non-interim) leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?
Manifold MarketsB.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner
PolymarketWho will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?
KalshiRules
Resolves to the next full (not interim) leader of the UK's Conservative and Union Party, taking office after Kemi Badenoch.