What are the current odds for Who will be the next Conservative Prime Minister??

Manifold Markets prices James Cleverly at 13.4% as of October 29, 2026.

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Who will be the next Conservative Prime Minister?

PoliticsOne-Off9y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Other 66.3%

Leader of 10 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Stale

Feb 24, 24, 3:18 AM UTCDec 30, 35, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

After Rishi Sunak

Will NA if the Conservative Party ceases to exist

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Who will be the next Conservative Prime Minister?

Who will be the next Conservative Prime Minister?

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