Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice?
US PoliticsManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastKetanji Brown Jackson 22.4%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
25
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleApr 9, 24, 2:44 PM UTCApr 17, 21, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
The idea of this market is to predict the order in which justices will leave office.
- I will add options as new justices are sworn in.
- I will resolve a justice's market with a percentage when they leave office, either by stepping down, being removed or by death.
- The n-th person to leave will be resolved with (n-1)%.
- For instance, the first justice to leave will be resolved with NO, and the second one with 1%.
- All justices that step down after the 100th will be resolved with YES.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice??
- Manifold Markets prices Ketanji Brown Jackson at 22% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice? resolve?
- Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice? is scheduled to resolve on April 17, 2121.
- How is Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The idea of this market is to predict the order in which justices will leave office.