Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Democratic Party 60.2%Leader of 3 outcomes
Democratic Party 60.2%Forecasters
39
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleDec 29, 23, 7:18 PM UTCOct 29, 28, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
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ForecastExRules
Which party's candidate will become US President in 2028?
- "the named outcome" includes a third-party candidate, no candidate being elected, etc. Resolves to the party whose candidate is sworn in in January 2029.
- The question's closing date will not change, and is set to about 10 days before the 2028 election, which is the time when early voting begins in many states.
- Resolution date may not be until the candidate is sworn in.
