Which of these websites/apps will be sold or cease to exist by end of 2028? [Add answers]
10.2 pts (24h)Corporate ActionsOne-Off2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastPillowfort 64%+10.2ptLeader of 15 outcomes
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14
Question type
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
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+10.2 pts
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Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMar 25, 25, 6:07 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
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An answer will resolve YES if it ceases services (akin to Cohost in 2024), OR if the business is sold to a new owner (akin to Twitter in 2022).
- A sale has to be a full sale of the business - it can't just be "someone new gets a majority stake" or "ceo pushed out" or something like that.
- If the website has an unplanned, unannounced, complete outage for longer than 2 months, we'll assume it's shut down and resolve YES unless there's direct evidence otherwise.
- Things that will not get a YES:
- Company going private (without also being sold to new owner)
- Ceo being ousted by board, majority stake shifting hands, or some other internal power struggle