Which five artists will be at the top of the list for most expensive paintings ever sold on Jan 1, 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which five artists will be at the top of the list for most expensive paintings ever sold on Jan 1, 2030??

Manifold Markets prices Leonardo da Vinci at 66.2% as of October 19, 2026.

When does Which five artists will be at the top of the list for most expensive paintings ever sold on Jan 1, 2030? resolve?

Which five artists will be at the top of the list for most expensive paintings ever sold on Jan 1, 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

How is Which five artists will be at the top of the list for most expensive paintings ever sold on Jan 1, 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change-2.0pt85.9%
• 25 bps increase+1.0pt14.1%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$49.6M

24h Vol

$4.1M

KALSHI

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

• Above $3,800+1.0pt96.5%
• Above $3,900+10.0pt87.5%
• Above $4,000+7.0pt

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.3%+3.0pt97.5%
• Above 3.2%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 3.0%+1.0pt98.5%

POLYMARKET

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

• 2.0-2.4%+64.8pt69.4%
• ≤1.9%-68.4pt28.6%
• 2.5-2.9%+0.9pt2%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

Core CPI in December

• Above 0.0%+1.0pt87.5%
• Above 0.1%+6.0pt74%
• Above 0.2%-20.0pt50.5%

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)68%
• 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt21%
• 3 (75 bps)-0.3pt10%

+3 more outcomes

• CPI in October
• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
• CPI YoY in December
• How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
• Will the Citrini scenario happen?
• Core CPI YoY in November
• Argentina Monthly Inflation - October
• State of the economy at the end of 2026
• Core CPI YoY in December
• Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
• Core CPI in October
• October Inflation US - Annual