Which countries will be designated state sponsors of terrorism by the US at the end of 2027?
US Politics1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:46 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastIran 92.5%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+8.3 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMay 18, 26, 2:27 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- Each option in this market will resolve YES if the named country is designated as a state sponsor of terrorism by the US Department of State at the close date.
- Each option in this market will resolve NO if the named country is not designated as a state sponsor of terrorism by the US Department of State at the close date.
- This market will close at 04:59 UTC on 1 January 2028.
- Clarifications
- As the resolution of this market is unlikely to be subjective, I may trade in this market.