When will there be credible evidence of an organism with a Gene Drive being released in the wild?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for When will there be credible evidence of an organism with a Gene Drive being released in the wild??

Manifold Markets prices 2027-2029 at 34.8% as of October 29, 2026.

When does When will there be credible evidence of an organism with a Gene Drive being released in the wild? resolve?

When will there be credible evidence of an organism with a Gene Drive being released in the wild? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2040.

How is When will there be credible evidence of an organism with a Gene Drive being released in the wild? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves to the bucket containing the year in which there is credible evidence of an organism with a gene drive being released into a wild population, with the intent to have it spread across the majority of that organisms natural range.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-0.1pt4%
• October 31-0.2pt0%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$75.7M

24h Vol

$138.1K

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 202923.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt15.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027-0.2pt4.7%

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 29, 2026?

• 6.1 or more+75.5pt95.2%
• 5.3 to 5.4-14.6pt1%
• 5.5 to 5.6-17.0pt1%

+3 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

• 1+0.5pt90.9%
• 2-1.5pt9.1%
• 30%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

• Yes+7.5pt82.3%
• No17.7%

Total Vol

$444.3K

24h Vol

$2.9K

POLYMARKET

Is Earth flat?

• No-0.2pt99%
• Yes+0.2pt1%

Total Vol

$65.4K

24h Vol

$2.1K

• 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
• Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?
• Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
• How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
• What will the biggest earthquake be on October 28, 2026?
• Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
• When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
• US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
• How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
• Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?