when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI??

Manifold Markets prices 2029 at 54.4% as of October 26, 2026.

When does when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI? resolve?

when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.

How is when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: answers resolve no if year goes by without an announcement

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+12.0pt95%
• December 15,+11.0pt93%
• November 30,+24.0pt88%

+15 more outcomes

Total Vol

$5.8M

24h Vol

$350.4K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+8.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt31.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+2.3pt21.6%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.6pt17.6%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+0.1pt56.6%
• Gemini+1.8pt32.6%
• ChatGPT-1.2pt

POLYMARKET

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

• $ANT+45.5pt100%
• $AAI-9.8pt0%
• $ANAI-2.8pt0%

+6 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31+2.6pt96%
• October 31-7.8pt37%
• October 30-12.0pt33%

+17 more outcomes

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