What are the current odds for OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027??

Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 9, 2026.

Where else is OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? listed?

The same question is also listed on Polymarket.

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

AIOne-OffSoccer3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 95.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Sep 7, 26, 12:45 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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OpenAI announces 1B MAU or 1B WAU first?

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Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?

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When AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 2 years?

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MLS Cup Champion

Gemini

English Premier League Champion

Gemini

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Prediction Source Comparison

Also available on Polymarket — OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · No 77%

Report a data issue with this market

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

AIOne-OffSoccer3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 95.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Sep 7, 26, 12:45 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

Polymarket

OpenAI announces 1B MAU or 1B WAU first?

Manifold Markets

Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?

Manifold Markets

When AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 2 years?

Manifold Markets

MLS Cup Champion

Gemini

English Premier League Champion

Gemini

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Prediction Source Comparison

Also available on Polymarket — OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · No 77%

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027??: Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 9, 2026.
When does OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? resolve?: OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
Where else is OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? listed?: The same question is also listed on Polymarket.

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Prediction Source Comparison

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Prediction Source Comparison

Frequently asked questions

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