Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNot before 2027 97.6%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
43
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleOct 16, 23, 7:49 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 1:29 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
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KalshiRules
other = before 2024
- Will look at the stat page.
- If it reads 100k, resolves to the relevant bucket.
- I don't plan on doing detective work if it's manipulated.
- Having said that, if a considerable amount of traffic is fraudulent (e.g., 20%) I will possibly delay resolution to make necessary adjustments for blatant-bulk-manipulation.
- I'm not excluding alts, 10 person bot farms, whatever
