Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62.8%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 21, 25, 12:51 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that before January 1st 2027 Omen/Presagio achieves any one of the following on Gnosis Chain:
- Users: In any rolling 30-day window, ≥ 5,000 unique wallets executed at least one filled buy/sell trade on an Omen/Presagio market and each such wallet had ≥ $100 USD-equivalent cumulative trading volume in that window; OR
- Volume: In any rolling 30-day window, total trading volume ≥ $25,000,000 USD-equivalent across Omen/Presagio markets.
- Scope & definitions
- “Omen/Presagio markets” means markets accessible via the official Omen and/or Presagio front-ends (or their clearly announced successors) that use the Gnosis Conditional Tokens + FPMM stack on Gnosis Chain.
- Testnets and unrelated forks are excluded.