When will Bayesian reveal a math problem he solved in Sept.?

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-0.1pt4%
• October 31+0.2pt1%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$75.5M

24h Vol

$97.3K

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 202923.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt14.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.2pt4.8%

POLYMARKET

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?

• June 30-23.5pt26%
• December 31-4.5pt5%

Total Vol

$29.1K

24h Vol

$6.9K

KALSHI

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

• Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem+5.0pt45.5%
• Hodge Conjecture-2.0pt46.5%
• Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 27, 2026?

• 5.7 to 5.8+48.3pt95.2%
• 5.3 to 5.4-16.4pt1%
• 5.5 to 5.6-7.0pt1%

+3 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 28, 2026?

• 5.9 to 6.032.1%
• 5.5 to 5.6+11.5pt27.4%
• 6.1 or more27.4%

+3 more outcomes

Total Vol