When will an AI Model first score >= 170 on the Epoch Capabilities Index?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for When will an AI Model first score >= 170 on the Epoch Capabilities Index??

Manifold Markets prices October 2026 at 59.6% as of October 21, 2026.

When does When will an AI Model first score >= 170 on the Epoch Capabilities Index? resolve?

When will an AI Model first score >= 170 on the Epoch Capabilities Index? is scheduled to resolve on April 1, 2027.

How is When will an AI Model first score >= 170 on the Epoch Capabilities Index? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2026-08-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on when the result is posted, matching the criteria of:

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029-1.0pt23%
• 2028+1.0pt18%
• 2027-1.0pt9%

Total Vol

$2.3M

24h Vol

$252K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-1.0pt51.4%
• Gemini+0.1pt37.5%
• ChatGPT+0.1pt

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T+2.0pt93%
• ↑$1.75T+0.5pt70%
• ↑$2.0T-1.5pt61%

+10 more outcomes

KALSHI

DeepSeek market share this week

• Above 24.6%+7.0pt95%
• Above 22.7%+1.0pt99.5%
• Above 23.8%+1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+5.5pt81.6%
• Anthropic-8.5pt16.3%
• Meta+0.5pt1%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+0.5pt53.1%
• Google-1.5pt39.8%
• OpenAI-0.6pt5.1%

+12 more outcomes

• Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
• OpenAI market share this week
• Best AI this week
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Anthropic market share this week
• OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Open vs. Closed Token market share (Vercel) in Oct 20, 2026