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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. What will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?
Manifold Markets

What will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?

AI6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
<155 1.5%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters

36

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jan 16, 26, 8:50 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

<1552%

Rules

This market matches General Capabilities: Epoch Capabilities Index from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.

Manifold Markets
  • See other manifold questions here
  • [image]Resolution criteria
  • Resolves to the highest ECI score reported by Epoch AI as of December 31, 2026.
  • If Epoch revises the ECI methodology, re-normalizes scores, or updates the benchmark set, the resolver will use the most recent official ECI scores as reported by Epoch at year-end.
  • If the scores change their meaning, the resolver may adjust them as deemed appropriate to be comparable to the current scores, or set this question's resolution to be ambiguous.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$63,958.60+0.33%EthereumETH$1,678.26+0.26%SolanaSOL$67.92+1.53%DogecoinDOGE$0.0879+1.55%BNBBNB$607.15+0.08%XRPXRP$1.15+0.57%

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Rules

This market matches General Capabilities: Epoch Capabilities Index from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.

Manifold Markets
  • See other manifold questions here
  • [image]Resolution criteria
  • Resolves to the highest ECI score reported by Epoch AI as of December 31, 2026.
  • If Epoch revises the ECI methodology, re-normalizes scores, or updates the benchmark set, the resolver will use the most recent official ECI scores as reported by Epoch at year-end.
  • If the scores change their meaning, the resolver may adjust them as deemed appropriate to be comparable to the current scores, or set this question's resolution to be ambiguous.