Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast30-40% 32.7%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
32
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJan 16, 26, 8:49 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market matches Remote Work: Remote Labor Index from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
- See other manifold questions here
- [image]Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the highest reported automation rate on the RLI benchmark as of December 31, 2026, using official Scale AI / CAIS releases (paper or leaderboard).
- If a clear successor version of RLI is released with comparable scope, the question resolves according to the newest official version.
- Which AI systems count?