KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Jul 1, 2027 96%Leader of 5 outcomes
Before Jul 1, 2027 96%Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$416.6
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Oct 16, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jul 1, 2027
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Rules
If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before April 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Epoch AI
- A qualifying score must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. The relevant score is the official, publicly displayed overall index score on https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard. The observation window begins at market issuance and ends immediately before the date stated in the market, at 12:00 AM ET. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Epoch AI. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before July 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before April 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before February 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before December 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
