Current community forecast
Anthropic 74.3%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-9.1 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 7, 26, 7:48 PM UTCNov 7, 26, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Which AI lab will own the top-scoring model on the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) at the end of November 6, 2026 (US Eastern)?
- Resolution source: the ECI leaderboard at https://epoch.ai/eci (Epoch AI).
- I will read it on or shortly after the evening of Nov 6, 2026 and resolve to the lab that developed the model with the highest ECI score shown.
- If Epoch's data had already updated past Nov 6 when I check, I will use the Internet Archive snapshot closest to Nov 6 23:59 ET, or Epoch's published data file for that date.
- The model's developer decides the answer (e.g. Claude → Anthropic, GPT → OpenAI, Gemini → the named outcome, Grok → xAI).
- Anything else → Other.
