When will alien life be first discovered?

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt21.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt12.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.2pt2%

+3 more outcomes

Total Vol

$36.8M

24h Vol

$189.8K

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31+0.1pt2%

+6 more outcomes

Total Vol

$78.5M

24h Vol

$67.3K

KALSHI

How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

• Above 0-1.0pt17%
• Above 1-6.0pt5.5%
• Above 2+1.0pt

KALSHI

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

• No97.7%
• Yes-0.2pt2.3%

Total Vol

$864.9K

24h Vol

$13.1K

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

• Yes+1.1pt82.3%
• No17.6%

Total Vol

$484.1K

24h Vol

$6.5K

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

• 1+1.0pt92%
• 2-0.5pt8%
• 30%

+3 more outcomes