Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 12.3%Leader of 28 outcomes
Forecasters
94
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-2.7 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 18, 26, 4:47 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market matches Sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI revenues from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
- See the other manifold questions here
- [image]Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the best estimate of the sum of December 2026 annualized revenues (monthly revenue × 12) of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI.
- The resolver will primarily rely on publicly reported figures from reliable news sources (e.g., The New York Times, Reuters, The Information, Bloomberg), official company statements, or direct announcements from company CEOs.
- If the most recent reports are from earlier in 2026, the resolver may extrapolate or use projections to estimate December revenue.