Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Gold (31.5%)
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, 2:31 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastSilver 32.4%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-32.4 pts
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 23, 26, 3:23 PMAug 8, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Gold31.5%
Silver32.4%
Bronze14.5%
HM12.1%
Nothing3.6%
I don't do the contest5.8%
32.4%
31.5%
14.5%
12.1%
5.8%
3.6%
Rules
Yes I am participating in IOI 2026, for more information check IOI 2026 participant list, at the very bottom.
- No more questions about Israel participation at IOI!
- I have participated at IMO 2024, 2025, 2026, and have won bronze, gold, gold respectively.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will I get in IOI 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Silver at 32% as of August 20, 2026.
- When does What will I get in IOI 2026? resolve?
- What will I get in IOI 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 8, 2026.
- How is What will I get in IOI 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Yes I am participating in IOI 2026, for more information check IOI 2026 participant list, at the very bottom.
