This market resolved: [20,35) (32.8%)
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, 7:50 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecast[10,20) 49.1%-49.1ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
45
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-35.6 pts
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleJul 8, 26, 10:32 AMAug 13, 26, 9:00 PM
Probability Timeline
[0,10)16.4%
[10,20)49.1%
[20,35)32.8%
[35,100]7.5%
49.1%
32.8%
16.4%
1.8%
Rules
Leader of the Recyclons and perennial by-election candidate Count Binface is running as the unity candidate to unseat some guy pulling a silly stunt.
- [image]Typically, the Count achieves 0.1-1% of the vote when he stands, but could this be his best performance yet? Is the 99p price cap on 99 flakes finally within reach??
- Square bracket denotes that the endpoint is included, normal bracket denotes that endpoint is excluded.
- Market resolves based on the actual fraction of votes, not the rounded percentage reported in the media.
- So if he wins 9.99% and the media rounds that to 10.0%, this market resolves to [0,10), not [10,20).
- I will bet in this market.
