This market resolved: 7 (99%)
Resolved: Sep 29, 2026, 10:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 11:32 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
40.1%
50.1%
60.1%
799%
80.5%
Other0.2%
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
The minimum is 4 as i am counting flights 4, 5, 6 and 10 as successfully splashed down.
- Update 2025-11-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This is not a multiple resolution market - only one option can resolve YES.
- The market was temporarily resolved as 4 and then unresolved.
- Update 2026-05-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Flight 11 counts as a successful splashdown.
- Flight 12 appears successful but is pending confirmation from new video releases.
- If Flight 12 is confirmed, the total successful splashdowns would be 6.
