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  3. Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?
Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?

Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?

TechOne-OffSpace6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Falcon 9
Falcon 9 95.5%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters

14

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Stale
Jan 19, 25, 5:34 PMJan 1, 27, 6:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
New Glenn
New Glenn
0.5%

Selected outcome

Falcon 996%

Rules

As of question writing, the record for reuse of a booster on orbital launch attempts is held by Falcon 9 booster B1080, and stands at 14 days.

Manifold Markets
  • It launched on 2024-11-11 and again on 2024-11-25.
  • What booster family will hold this record as of the end of 2026?
  • Launch attempts must be orbital or near-orbital (Starship test flights count as near-orbital).
  • As measured from launch to launch.
  • The second stage must be present but need not be successful.

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Rules

As of question writing, the record for reuse of a booster on orbital launch attempts is held by Falcon 9 booster B1080, and stands at 14 days.

Manifold Markets
  • It launched on 2024-11-11 and again on 2024-11-25.
  • What booster family will hold this record as of the end of 2026?
  • Launch attempts must be orbital or near-orbital (Starship test flights count as near-orbital).
  • As measured from launch to launch.
  • The second stage must be present but need not be successful.