SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.
US PoliticsAIOne-Off
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (70%)
Resolved: Oct 11, 2026, 9:36 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
20%
At 24 hours out
62%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 14, 2026, 12:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes31.4%
No68.6%
Won
Lost
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FutuurRules
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
- [image] Update 2026-10-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is resolving the market to NO.