Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastSame # of countries as Oct 2025 51.6%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleOct 27, 25, 7:34 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market predicts how many countries will have strict Sharia law implementation (where Sharia governs most or all aspects of legal system) by December 31, 2030.
- A few countries, such as Iran and Taliban-controlled Afghanistan, allow strictly conservative classic Sharia principles to shape the entirety of their legal system.
- Countries like Saudi Arabia, Iran, Sudan, and Afghanistan impose an extreme version of Sharia law.
- Currently, approximately 4-6 countries implement strict Sharia law comprehensively.
- Resolution Criteria: Based on analysis from World Population Review's annual Sharia Law Countries report and academic sources.
- Countries must have Sharia as primary legal framework governing criminal, civil, and family law.
