Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028?
PoliticsOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS Politics2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.2%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 24, 26, 10:57 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, by December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, Natalie Harp gives birth to a child of whom Donald J. Trump is the biological father.
- Verification will rely on credible mainstream news sources (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times) or official public announcements from Donald J. Trump, Natalie Harp, or their authorized representatives.
- If a birth is confirmed but paternity is publicly disputed or unverified by the cutoff date, resolution may be delayed by up to three months (until March 31, 2029) to await official confirmation or DNA parentage test results.
- If paternity is not confirmed by this extended deadline, the market will resolve to NO.
- If no birth occurs, or if Natalie Harp births a child fathered by someone else, the market will resolve to NO.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028? resolve?
- Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Natalie Harp births President Donald J. Trump's child by EOY 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria