Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastIn 2028, AI be as big a political issue as abortion 91.1%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
63
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 10, 23, 5:23 AM UTCOct 17, 30, 6:29 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Will resolve at the end of each year according to Scott's original resolution:
- I will resolve this based on some combination of how much it gets talked about in elections, how much money goes to interest groups on both topics, and how much of the "political conversation" seems to be about either.