In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 83.5% as of November 1, 2026.

When does In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding? resolve?

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2028.

How is In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I will resolve this based on how much money goes to interest groups on both topics.

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POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX-2.0pt54%
• Anthropic+2.5pt46%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$7.1M

24h Vol

$282.6K

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google-2.5pt54.1%
• Anthropic+1.0pt37.8%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6.1%

+12 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T30.7%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.9pt20.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.8pt17.8%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini-0.9pt51.4%
• Claude+1.8pt37.8%
• ChatGPT-1.2pt

KALSHI

Google market share this week

• Above 19.1%+1.0pt1.5%
• Above 17.3%-2.0pt1%
• Above 20.2%2%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+3.0pt88%
• December 15,+2.0pt84%
• November 30,+2.0pt80%

+15 more outcomes

• Best AI this week
• Anthropic IPO Date
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 26–Nov 1
• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 1, 2026