What are the current odds for Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Winner??

Manifold Markets prices Abdul El-Sayed at 99% as of August 7, 2026.

When does Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Winner? resolve?

Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Winner? is scheduled to resolve on August 6, 2026.

How is Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Winner? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Same criteria as Polymarket:

Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Winner?

0.7 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-Off

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Abdul El-Sayed (98.8%)

Resolved: Aug 6, 2026, 6:53 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Abdul El-Sayed 98.8%+0.7pt

Leader of 3 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+66.7 pts

Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Stale

Aug 5, 26, 3:28 AMAug 6, 26, 6:53 AM

Probability Timeline

Abdul El-Sayed98.8%

Haley Stevens1.2%

Other0.1%

Abdul El-Sayed

+0.7 pts

98.8%

Haley Stevens

-0.7 pts

1.2%

Other

0.0 pts

0.1%

Rules

Same criteria as Polymarket:

"This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice."

Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Winner?

0.7 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-Off

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Abdul El-Sayed (98.8%)

Resolved: Aug 6, 2026, 6:53 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Abdul El-Sayed 98.8%+0.7pt

Leader of 3 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+66.7 pts

Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Stale

Aug 5, 26, 3:28 AMAug 6, 26, 6:53 AM

Probability Timeline

Abdul El-Sayed98.8%

Haley Stevens1.2%

Other0.1%

Abdul El-Sayed

+0.7 pts

98.8%

Haley Stevens

-0.7 pts

1.2%

Other

0.0 pts

0.1%

Rules

Same criteria as Polymarket:

"This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice."

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Winner??: Manifold Markets prices Abdul El-Sayed at 99% as of August 7, 2026.
When does Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Winner? resolve?: Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Winner? is scheduled to resolve on August 6, 2026.
How is Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Winner? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Same criteria as Polymarket:

Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Winner?

Michigan U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Winner?

Frequently asked questions

Open markets

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Brazil Presidential Election

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

2028 Republican presidential nominee