Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (98.7%)
Resolved: Jul 30, 2026, 9:52 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastYes 98.7%
Forecasters
54
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 44 days ago
StaleJul 12, 25, 5:38 AMJun 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes98.7%
No1.299999999999997%
98.7%
1.3%
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-8.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe27.4%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.5%
- Gavin Newsom+2.0pt15.5%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $187.1M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.2pt32.7%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt4%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $690.6M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt85.7%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.3%
- Total Vol
- $23.7M
- 24h Vol
- $585.9K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
- Trump out as President by August 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Kash Patel remains FBI Director on June 30, 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of July 8, 2026.
- When does Kash Patel remains FBI Director on June 30, 2026 resolve?
- Kash Patel remains FBI Director on June 30, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2026.