JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionAI10mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92%
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17
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 14, 25, 6:51 PM UTCAug 30, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
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ForecastExRules
Being very specific here.
- It's got to be both JD Vance as the nominee, and in his nomination speech he's also got to give a speech where the main topic of the speech is CLEARLY AI. i.e. not just mentioned, but mentioned FIRST if multiple issues are raised; and if multiple issues are mentioned, then impartial textual and emotional analysis should reveal that the major issue he's giving his position on is about AI.
- Deadline: whatever the normal (or rescheduled) republican party is (or the natural successor party, if there is one)
