JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitics2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85%
Forecasters
52
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleFeb 7, 25, 5:57 PM UTCJun 1, 29, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves YES if JD Vance and Usha Vance publicly announce their separation or divorce, or if credible media sources report their separation/divorce filing before June 1st, 2029.
- Resolution will be based on reports from major news outlets like ABC News, Fox News, or other mainstream media sources.
- The date is chosen to be after the current term as VP and give them enough time to execute on a decision they might have made but held off on during his time as VP and a potential campaign for his own presidency
- Update 2025-11-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Usha Vance has an "accident" (dies), this would not count as a separation or divorce and the market would resolve NO.
