What are the current odds for Was the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag??

Manifold Markets prices No at 90.3% as of October 27, 2026.

Was the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 90.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Stale

Mar 22, 24, 7:08 PM UTCMar 1, 31, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the attack on the Crocus concert hall was organised by the Putin regime / Russian State.

If there is no evidence supporting this hypothesis before January 1st 2031, then this market resolves as NO.
If there is weak evidence (but no strong evidence), then this market resolves as N/A.