Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 72.2%
Forecasters
63
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 54 minutes ago
LaggingNov 8, 24, 4:56 PM UTCJan 16, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will we get tarrifs on Chinese microtransaction in Trump's America?
Manifold MarketsThings named after Trump or named by Trump after America are renamed during the first year of Trump out of office?
Manifold MarketsWhich Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
PolymarketWho will control the House?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRules
Will there be internment camps in the USA while Donald Trump is president?
- Market will Resolve YES if there is capacity for the detention of 30,000 people in 3 or fewer actively used concentration camps / detention centers (so a 25k person facility + a 5k person one would qualify, as would 3x 10k people facilities).
- Resolves NO when Trump is no longer president (following his 2025 inauguration), or N/A if he doesn’t have a second term.
- For reference:
- During the US’s WWII Japanese internment, 120,000 people were interned in 10 camps.
- The current three largest active detention centers in the US have a capacity of ~6,600, so this would be a nearly 5x growth in capacity for the mass detention of people.