In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %]
PoliticsManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastA streamer, influencer, or other vacuous media personality 75.3%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleApr 27, 26, 12:39 AM UTCDec 31, 50, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Longer form (canonical): In 2050, which of the listed sources will believe President Trump and/or his allies staged an assassination attempt against him?
- At some point in the year 2050, I will identify a member of each listed class and ask them whether they think any assassination attempt targeting Donald Trump during his presidency was an operation planned by Trump and/or his close allies.
- I will target people who I think have a low chance of being aware of this market.
- I will try to get them to land on a percentage chance.
- I will then resolve the answers to those percentages.
- If the subject is overall noncooperative, I will likely just choose another member of the class.