Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 65%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 28, 25, 3:45 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will an active US President or Vice President be booed off a stage by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) be the Democratic nominee for President OR Vice President before the end of 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill MrBeast be elected President or Vice President of the United States before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman be elected US vice president in 2028?
PredictIt2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
