If Trump is re-elected in 2024, will he try to hold onto power after 2028?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 71.3%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 10, 24, 7:45 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
i.e. will Trump attempt to subvert the two-term limit? Must be a serious attempt, e.g. announcing he will run for re-election in 2028 or initiating some legal proceedings to repeal the 22nd.
- Idle wondering or trolling doesn't count.
- Resolves N/A if Trump is not elected in 2024.
- Resolves NO if Trump leaves or dies mid-way through his second term.
- Resolves NO if a time-traveller occupies the white house for two weeks in his first-term and Trump wishes to stay an extra two weeks to compensate.
