If RFK Jr is confirmed HHS Secretary, Marin kindergarten vaccination rate in 2026-2027
One-OffHealth & MedicineUS Politics1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastBelow 94% 22.8%-2.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
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7
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 7 days ago
StaleNov 17, 24, 4:34 PMDec 25, 27, 7:59 AM
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Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
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Below 94%23%
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In 2022, the share of Marin County public school kindergarten students with all vaccinations was 96.6%, per the statewide assessment available here: https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/CID/DCDC/CDPH%20Document%20Library/Immunization/2021-22KindergartenSummaryReport.pdf
- If RFK is confirmed HHS for any length of time, will this number be higher or lower for the report covering the 2026-2027 school year? We will use the same report, if the report is not available, resolves N/A.
- If no vaccinations are required for public school students, or measurement becomes impossible, resolves N/A.
- Resolves N/A if RFK is not confirmed as HHS.