Current community forecast
No 90.7%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleOct 19, 26, 6:04 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Provoked by this article https://www.thelocal.fr/20261016/one-in-five-french-people-would-consider-leaving-if-le-pen-wins-election.
- It claims that over 40% of French would consider leaving if she won.
- If there seems to be a decline of more than five percent in the French Muslim population of more than 5 percent resolves yes.
- If Marine Le Pen does not win will resolve NA.
- [link preview]
