If humanity gets wiped out by 2033, will it be because of AI?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for If humanity gets wiped out by 2033, will it be because of AI??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 72.8% as of October 25, 2026.

When does If humanity gets wiped out by 2033, will it be because of AI? resolve?

If humanity gets wiped out by 2033, will it be because of AI? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2033.

How is If humanity gets wiped out by 2033, will it be because of AI? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if humanity gets wiped out due to AI before 2033.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-0.1pt92.9%
• Anthropic-1.1pt7.1%
• Alibaba0%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.5M

24h Vol

$105.1K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+7.3pt56.4%
• Gemini-5.9pt33.5%
• ChatGPT-0.8pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt28.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T+2.1pt20.6%
• $1.5–$1.75T-3.0pt19.6%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+0.5pt20%
• 2028+2.0pt16%
• 2027-1.0pt8%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt54.5%
• Google-4.0pt37.4%
• OpenAI6.1%

+12 more outcomes

• OpenRouter AI token usage in October
• Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Best AI this week
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• OpenAI market share this week