If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?
AIOne-OffManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 66.4%
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Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJun 5, 24, 4:07 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Artificial superintelligence (ASI) here means any artificial intelligence able to carry out any cognitive task better than 100% of the unenhanced biological human population.
- Torture here means intentionally inflicting involuntary extreme suffering, unignorable to the victim, for more than 10% of a period longer than 1 minute.
- This is counterfactual to the perpetrator existing but taking no action, so it must be new suffering created, inaction and trade-offs for the unambiguous greater good don't count e.g. making someone upset by not being their best friend.
- In addition to unconditional torture, this includes punishment, such as for crimes, or for refusing orders.
- In addition, I mean the ASI independently and unilaterally deciding to do it, not being ordered by humans.
- Human-level-intelligence here means any conscious mind with equal or greater hedonic valence than the bottom 1% of the unenhanced biological human population.