Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast5-6 17.3%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJan 9, 26, 8:51 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsHow many Democratic representatives will New York elect to the House in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ohio elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 4 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsHow many Democratic Representatives will OH elect in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRules
Based on how they intend to caucus.
- In 2024 it was 8.